Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.957078e-03 0.002143 0.002329 0.002530 0.002739 0.002951 0.003181
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1.680111e-03 0.001963 0.002255 0.002579 0.002927 0.003287 0.003686
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.441861e-03 0.001803 0.002189 0.002628 0.003111 0.003621 0.004197
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.259340e-03 0.001688 0.002162 0.002716 0.003338 0.004007 0.004776
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.138881e-03 0.001634 0.002197 0.002872 0.003643 0.004485 0.005465
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.925458e-04 0.001409 0.002022 0.002778 0.003662 0.004646 0.005808
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.108606e-04 0.001243 0.001902 0.002739 0.003740 0.004871 0.006222
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.831280e-04 0.001131 0.001839 0.002761 0.003884 0.005172 0.006727
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.861910e-04 0.001048 0.001804 0.002814 0.004065 0.005515 0.007282
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.043076e-04 0.000976 0.001776 0.002871 0.004248 0.005863 0.007845
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.284214e-04 0.000900 0.001738 0.002911 0.004408 0.006182 0.008376
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.547498e-04 0.000815 0.001678 0.002917 0.004524 0.006447 0.008845
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.833397e-04 0.000719 0.001597 0.002896 0.004610 0.006683 0.009289
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.329011e-04 0.000649 0.001548 0.002914 0.004743 0.006978 0.009805
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.312233e-05 0.000587 0.001506 0.002938 0.004884 0.007281 0.010333
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.788664e-05 0.000550 0.001499 0.003009 0.005085 0.007661 0.010954
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.596094e-05 0.000545 0.001543 0.003154 0.005385 0.008165 0.011729
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.278823e-05 0.000444 0.001414 0.003041 0.005339 0.008235 0.011977
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.093841e-06 0.000375 0.001331 0.002990 0.005371 0.008401 0.012341
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.375478e-06 0.000334 0.001293 0.003004 0.005491 0.008677 0.012837
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.490564e-09 0.000306 0.001279 0.003053 0.005657 0.009011 0.013407
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000282 0.001269 0.003107 0.005830 0.009354 0.013988
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000255 0.001249 0.003144 0.005977 0.009664 0.014528